The Future of Marketing
Marketing Has an Activity Problem, Not a Technology Problem
More messages, more campaigns and more dashboards can conceal a lack of buyer progress. The next advantage lies in better decisions.
A marketing department can have a remarkably productive month without making its business any more likely to win a customer. Campaigns launch, content appears, contacts enter the database and reports arrive on time. Each activity is real. The commercial progress may be harder to identify.
This is not necessarily a failure of effort or competence. It can be the logical result of a system organised around things that are easy to produce and count. When software makes those things cheaper, the organisation often produces more of them. The assumption that more activity will eventually become more demand deserves closer examination.
The problem is particularly visible in B2B markets, where a purchase may depend on several people resolving different concerns over an extended period. A message sent is an event. A buyer becoming confident enough to recommend a supplier is progress. They are not interchangeable.
The accumulation of capability
Customer databases made relationships easier to record. Email platforms made communication easier to distribute. Marketing automation connected selected events to prescribed responses. Account-based marketing encouraged teams to concentrate on organisations rather than isolated contacts. Generative AI has made research and production faster still.
Each development addresses a genuine operational constraint. The difficulty emerges when the organisation treats the accumulation of capabilities as a strategy in itself. A team can now identify an account, assemble a message and deliver a sequence with impressive efficiency, while remaining uncertain whether that account has a problem it is ready to solve.
Buying another tool can feel more decisive than confronting that uncertainty. Procurement has a finish line; better judgement requires continuing work. New software also offers visible evidence of modernisation. Revising the criteria by which a team chooses its next action is less photogenic, even when it matters more.
When the measure becomes the task
Activity measures have legitimate uses. A delivery failure needs diagnosing. An abandoned content calendar can reveal an execution problem. A campaign that never reaches its intended audience cannot influence it. The mistake is allowing operational measures to stand in for commercial ones.
Consider two campaigns. One generates a large number of downloads from people seeking introductory information. The other prompts a smaller group of relevant businesses to investigate whether an offer meets a specific requirement. Neither is inherently superior. Their value depends on the objective, the quality of the audience and what happens afterwards.
If the team is rewarded mainly for downloads, however, the decision has already been made. The organisation will favour the activity that wins the dashboard. More sophisticated reporting cannot compensate for an objective that points in the wrong direction.
Commercial measurement should therefore distinguish reach, response, evidence of buying progress and confirmed outcomes. These stages need not form a neat funnel for every buyer. Keeping them conceptually separate nevertheless prevents a promising signal from quietly becoming a claimed result.
A dashboard cannot choose
Attribution attempts to explain how recorded interactions relate to outcomes. That can be useful, but it is not the same as deciding what should happen next. A report may associate a webinar with opportunities without establishing that inviting another hundred people to the webinar is the best use of effort.
Some participants may already be evaluating the product. Others may need a comparison guide. A third group may be outside the target market. The aggregate result contains none of those decisions automatically. It needs interpretation in the context of particular buyers and available actions.
There is also an important distinction between observed association and demonstrated influence. Buyers encounter brands through conversations and experiences that a reporting system may not see. A precise-looking allocation of credit should not remove uncertainty from the discussion. It should make the assumptions behind a decision easier to examine.
The limits of the predetermined journey
A workflow is a useful answer to a repeatable process. If someone requests a document, delivering it promptly is sensible. If a contact withdraws permission, communication should stop. Reliability matters, and there is no virtue in replacing clear rules with unnecessary complexity.
Problems arise when the workflow pretends to describe the buying journey. A person reads a page, so an email follows; the email is opened, so another arrives. The sequence progresses because its conditions have been met, even if the buyer's circumstances have not changed.
An operations director researching a future project and a procurement manager comparing shortlisted suppliers might trigger the same sequence. Their next useful steps could be quite different. The first may need a credible explanation of the problem. The second may need evidence about implementation. More elaborate branching can help, but eventually the diagram becomes a cumbersome substitute for judgement.
This is where next-best-action decisioning becomes commercially interesting: it asks which available action is useful in the present circumstances, including whether any action is warranted.
Reorganising around progress
The practical starting point is to define the change marketing is trying to help a buyer make. That might be recognising an overlooked cost, understanding a possible approach, resolving an objection or deciding to speak to a supplier. Each change requires different evidence and different support.
A team can then examine whether its existing tools enable that support. Often the missing element is not another channel. It is a reliable connection between customer context, useful content and the decision about what to do next. HVM's connected approach is framed around this relationship between understanding, deciding, acting and learning.
The change also affects management conversations. Instead of asking only whether the campaign shipped, ask why it was the right intervention, which assumptions it tested and what subsequent behaviour suggests. An unsuccessful action can still produce useful learning. An impressive activity total can produce very little.
Marketing will continue to need technology, operational discipline and productive people. The competitive distinction lies in how those resources are directed. A business that makes better decisions with the website, content and customer information it already has may gain more than one that simply adds another machine for doing more.
